The Perception and Psychology of Economics


The US Feds are well accounting when putting out decisions and explanations of their policies; it is clear that perception proceeds real actions: let say that the mentioning of possible real actions definitely affects markets. Investors always act in advance of probable actions trying to predict these actions and get ahead of the curve. The rightly explained economic policies are taken by the investors weighted by them on the effect such would have on the overall economy. It is considered that investors actions reflect the estimated effect on the business activities and the return on the invested capital.

Clearly, and what the Investors value the most are the relative market stability of the political and demand such! When the developed markets can be considered politically stable the demand such becomes the main value taken in consideration; thus, if business activities and employment are slow to boost such demand the market stability is down therefor the investors are to look elsewhere to invest for ROE. Under the conditions of a supply driven market the demand was always bigger than the supply, then the investment was more politically motivated than market such. The conclusions of a tipping off from supply to a demand driven markets has been well presented in most developed and some considered developing economies: rising inequality among individuals and countries alike has added to such processes of eroding demand – the declining Middle Class, the marginalized income growth, the rising poverty are accelerating by the ongoing Globalization, rising Productivity, the Internet, and the Chinese industrial growth: exogenous and endogenous factors that have never but in the 21st Century had a profound market effect. The Capitalism a Social-Market structure founded on industrial production of supply driven markets could not apprehend the powers of these new developments thus greatly under-performing. The Foreign Direct Investment into huge Transnational Corporations or by lending to emerging markets’ governments have both way contributed to the inequality by bringing huge returns to the very few prompting the productivity by improving technologies and more proficient management, but also by lower salaries and weak consumer, labor, and environmental protection laws. The ‘Catch 22’ of from one side rising Productivity and from another the decreasing demand and good paid employment have hit markets whereas the 2007-9 Recession is a good example of how harmful over-capitalization of a few sectors of a market in the case the Real Estate, the Construction, and the Capital Markets have overrun and left behind most of the rest market sectors, thus real estate prices in residential and commercial sectors rose so high that the supporting income that was suppose to match these prices were left well behind. The Recession hit the entire market with a unparalleled vengeance, indeed. The role of the easy money trickling up and down through up to 110 LTV loans aggregated the insufficiency of the US market inflating the huge balloon that finally burst.

The trickle-down Economics is based on such ups and downs to supposedly self-adjust by cutting the dead brunches of overheating markets; however, the Capitalism has been affected by the incredible exogenous and powers of the 21st Century that almost brought to destruction the US and many other markets, drained billions from pension funds, and impoverished many. Well, if the Earth Environment has not become in great concerns, maybe the self-adjusting could work their ways around, but with the Global Weather Changes that brought accelerating Global Warming and all the consequential disasters the probabilities for a natural trickle-down self-adjustment without total Earth destruction are bleak. The need for alleviation of Poverty, establishing stable Middle Class all over the world must be accomplished ASAP to reduce pollution, deforestation, careless disposal, etc. Such quick response could be done only by using active market economics that must exploit Environmentally friendly approaches of all human activities but yest succeed consistent Market Development and yet preserve Freedom, Liberties, and Democracy!

 The Philosophy of Market Economics is exploring the opportunities of current days economic structures to accomplish the targeted Earth Preservation! 

Joshua Ioji Konov, 09-2016

 

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About Joshua Ioji Konov
email joshua.konov@gmail.com twitter joshuak2077

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