Probabilities in Market Economics


Market* equals economy, economic, 

 

For the last 20-25 years. the accelerated Globalization, the rising Productivity, and the Chinese Industrialization have accelerated the moving and outsourcing of industrial production by the large transnational corporations from the Most Developed Markets have brought more complex Global economic situation of industrial overproduction capacity, higher unemployment, rising national debt, increasing income inequality, and etc negative developments that exceed the abilities of currently used economics to deal with it appropriately. The Uncertainty Principle, which changed Physics, in some degree applies to Economics bringing the Principles of Probabilities to manage the complexity and the uncertainty of these new developments. However, unlike in Q uantum Physics in the Quantum i.e. Market Economics the Plank Constant does not apply but a new J Constant should be applied, which vary between (-2…….0………+2) from the lowest to the highest possible Market Security: Market Development is a seasonal Entropy/Equity Market Place. Through a Market Leap prompted by targeted injection of capital into a particular market sector or Natural Market Investment an accelerated Entropy/Equity process could establish artificial accelerated market activities, however if the Market Security is higher than a (0) a Market Development higher than (0) is possible. The Globalization, which supports markets against Inflation in some market sectors, allows Market Leaps (accelerated market activities).

The general market equilibrium evolves into part’s market equilibrium a complicated structure of interdependence between market sectors in a Globalized marketplace in which some sectors are more globalized than others, and therefore market sectors vary in their inflationary susceptibly. The overall lock of inflation in the US Economy, for this period of time, presents a prove for the power of these new forces.

Market Security is a fundamental Market Agent that could prompt Market Development[ See Table 1]. To succeed Market Security over (0) a fair Market Competition is required, whereas Market Agents such as Large Businesses and Investors, and Small Businesses and Investors should be setup into a equal access to financing. There are two possibility for such: either the Government interfere into Markets by providing additional security to the small business’ loans, which is not market related approach if under a lower Market Security, and in many cases are politically motivated reversible actions , or when targeted Market Sectoral investments are injected into a higher Market Security that would consequence into seasoned Market Development (market equilibrium when expanded business activities). Current market conditions are with very low Market Security: the large businesses and investors are given advantage in a a lock of Rule of Laws’ Business Environment, therefor, any capital injections under such condition could not boost Market Development, these may stir temporally business activities bit cannot succeed seasoned Market Development (example for this is the City of Detroit, where for years many capital injections could not succeed Market Development); currently used Economics tolerates low Market Security, because such is considered helpful to trickle-up capital into the very few, who were suppose to trickle-it-down into business activities and economic growth, however, the Globalization and rising Productivity have provided Global opportunities for such reinvestment, and the expanding wealth inequality results of these new developments: the large transnational corporations and the direct international investment are the economic agents for these global opportunities. Enhancing the Rule of Law in Business: Liability Laws, Contract Laws, Consumer Protection Laws, Environmental Laws, Insurance & Bonding Laws, Intellectual Property Laws will improve the Market Security by marginalize the inequality in the market competition.

The J Constant will go above (0) and therefor if capital injections are properly done Market Development could be succeeded.

The Probabilities’ Principle is to be used:

*to give the right levels for possible Capital Injections without prompting Inflation/Deflation.

*To show the amount of possible such Capital Injections.

*To oversee the possible results,

*and if some emergencies arouse the possible actions to be taken that would disperse the negative bubbles.

Simulations, historical and prospective by using Possibilities’ Principle are in a working process.

Joshua Ioji Konov 2014

1 For centuries, scientists have gotten used to the idea that something like strong objectivity is the foundation of knowledge. So much so that we have come to believe that it is an essential part of the scientific method and that without this most solid kind of objectivity science would be pointless and arbitrary. However, the Copenhagen interpretation of quantum physics (see below) denies that there is any such thing as a true and unambiguous reality at the bottom of everything. Reality is what you measure it to be, and no more. No matter how uncomfortable science is with this viewpoint, quantum physics is extremely accurate and is the foundation of modern physics (perhaps then an objective view of reality is not essential to the conduct of physics). And concepts, such as cause and effect, survive only as a consequence of the collective behavior of large quantum systems.2

2Definitions

Probability is a measure of how likely it is (or how probable it is) that a given event will occur. The more likely an event is, the higher its probability. The sample space is the set of possible outcomes within a given context. The sample space is equivalent to the universal set. An event is a subset of the sample space. The elements in the event are referred to as favorable outcomes. The word “favorable” is not used to mean “good” or “desirable” in the normal sense. A favorable outcome means only that the event has occurred. The probability of an event is the number of elements in the event divided by the number of elements in the sample space.

3 The Planck constant (denoted h, also called Planck’s constant) is a physical constant that is the quantum of action in quantum mechanics. The Planck constant was first described as the proportionality constant between the energy (E) of a charged atomic oscillator in the wall of a black body, and the frequency (ν) of its associated electromagnetic wave. This relation between the energy and frequency is called the Planck relation:

4 Table 1

Untitled

Md = Market Development

LIR = Lending Interest Rate

En = Market Entropy

Eq = Market Equity

E = Market Equilibrium

EE1= Market Leap

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About Joshua Ioji Konov
email joshua.konov@gmail.com twitter joshuak2077

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